Brannvs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brann 1-2 Lillestrom
Original prediction
Brann
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.5% | 55.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.7% | 21.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.8% | 23.1% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrannDWDWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LillestromWLWDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrannLillestrom
66.7Attack44.4
50.0Defence53.7
48.1Form48.1
54.6Power49.6
2.02xG1.21