Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Brann

Brann

Home
L
12
Full time
Kristiansund BK

Kristiansund BK

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Kristiansund BK33%
Brann33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Kristiansund BK
Win probability
Brann
33%
Draw
33%
Kristiansund BK
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Brann
34
Kristiansund BK
73
Defence
Brann
27
Kristiansund BK
66
Momentum
Brann
0
Kristiansund BK
100
Danger (xG)
Brann
0.90
Kristiansund BK
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.59 xG for Brann and 1.37 xG for Kristiansund BK — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.22), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.96 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Brann)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Kristiansund BK)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Brann)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kristiansund BK)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BrannBrann
WLWWL
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
WLL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Brann33%
Draw33%
Kristiansund BK33%

Kristiansund BK leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Brann Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Brann take on Kristiansund BK in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 5 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • Brann have been conceding 1.77 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Brann 0Draws 01 Kristiansund BK
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Brann
L12
Kristiansund BK

Recent form

Brann

Brann

W
vs Start
12 Jul 2026
21
xG 1.9
L
vs Kristiansund BK
3 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Aarhus Fremad
26 Jun 2026
10
W
vs KFUM Oslo
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Bologna
26 Feb 2026
01
xG 0.5
Kristiansund BK

Kristiansund BK

W
@ Brann
3 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Viking
24 May 2026
12
xG 0.7
L
@ Molde
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brann vs Kristiansund BK?

GoalVio's model predicts Brann to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Brann vs Kristiansund BK?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Brann vs Kristiansund BK?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brann vs Kristiansund BK?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more