GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Braintree · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Braintree 1-3 Walton & Hersham

Original prediction

Braintree

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6853.9%51.1%-2.9 pts
Draw4.0622.3%24.6%2.3 pts
Away3.8123.7%24.3%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.3–08%

Predicted outcome

Braintree

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Braintree has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BraintreeLLWDL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Walton & HershamDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BraintreeWalton & Hersham
59.3Attack22.2
18.5Defence3.7
37.0Form7.4
41.1Power16.7
3.10xG1.13
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