Braintreevs
Truro City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Truro City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Braintree 1-2 Truro City
Original prediction
Truro City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.44 | 20.5% | 25.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 26.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.7% | 48.5% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Truro City
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80