Braintreevs
Maidstone Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidstone Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Braintree 2-1 Maidstone Utd
Original prediction
Maidstone Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.5% | 24.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.6% | 25.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.8% | 49.8% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Maidstone Utd
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Maidstone Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80