Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceBradford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while York are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BradfordWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
YorkLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BradfordYork
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24