Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bradford are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Wycombe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20