Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bradford 0-0 Stevenage, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bradford 2-0 Stevenage
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.1% | 36.9% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.2% | 32.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.6% | 31.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Bradford 0–0 Stevenage
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BradfordDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StevenageWWWLW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BradfordStevenage
29.6Attack50.0
81.5Defence66.7
63.0Form50.0
60.7Power56.2
0.74xG0.75