Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bradford are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rotherham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40