Bradfordvs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bradford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 48.4-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40