Bradfordvs
Mansfield Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bradford 1-0 Mansfield Town
Original prediction
Bradford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.8% | 39.0% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.8% | 33.7% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80