GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/31/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bradford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 58.3-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

80.5%

Model confidence

80.5%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BradfordLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester City U21LD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
BradfordManchester City U21
76.2Attack33.3
85.7Defence11.1
85.7Form11.1
81.3Power23.1
3.35xG0.83
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