GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bradford are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

80.4%

Model confidence

80.4%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BradfordWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Liverpool U21LLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
BradfordLiverpool U21
76.2Attack50.0
85.7Defence8.3
85.7Form25.0
81.3Power29.2
3.52xG0.92
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