Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bradford are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Grimsby are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
76.8%
Model confidence
76.8%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00