GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bradford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Colchester are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the League Two, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BradfordDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ColchesterDWLDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BradfordColchester
44.2Attack42.8
57.2Defence42.0
50.0Form32.6
51.7Power41.3
1.70xG0.97
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