GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Bracknell Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bracknell TownDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownDLLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bracknell TownMerthyr Town
50.0Attack67.5
0.0Defence53.2
50.0Form53.2
34.5Power57.2
1.46xG2.25
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