GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/6/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bracknell Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bracknell TownDWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HendonWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bracknell TownHendon
50.0Attack55.6
0.0Defence48.4
50.0Form46.0
34.5Power51.9
1.64xG1.82
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