Bracknell Townvs
Hanworth Villa
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bracknell Town 1-4 Hanworth Villa
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.2% | 21.0% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 22.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.9% | 56.7% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60