Bracknell Townvs
Chichester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chichester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bracknell Town 1-0 Chichester City
Original prediction
Chichester City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.1% | 33.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 22.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.1% | 44.0% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Chichester City
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Chichester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60