GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Bracknell Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bracknell TownDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedLDWWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bracknell TownChesham United
50.0Attack65.9
0.0Defence63.5
50.0Form71.4
34.5Power67.2
1.10xG2.27
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