Brackley Townvs
South Shields
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Shields · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brackley Town 3-2 South Shields
Original prediction
South Shields
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.6% | 28.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.6% | 44.1% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
South Shields
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
South Shields has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60