Brackley Townvs
Scarborough Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scarborough Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brackley Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic
Original prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.3% | 24.1% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 26.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.3% | 49.9% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Scarborough Athletic
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80