Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Brabrand

Brabrand

Home
DW
00
Full time
VSK Århus

VSK Århus

Away
DD
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

VSK Århus33%
Brabrand33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Brabrand
33%
Draw
33%
VSK Århus
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Brabrand
54
VSK Århus
34
Defence
Brabrand
82
VSK Århus
66
Momentum
Brabrand
67
VSK Århus
33
Danger (xG)
Brabrand
1.35
VSK Århus
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 0.70 xG for Brabrand and 0.77 xG for VSK Århus. Brabrand's projected xG of 0.70 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.VSK Århus's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (54). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 1.47 — low attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Brabrand's Defensive Stability (82) and VSK Århus's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Brabrand)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (VSK Århus)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Brabrand)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (VSK Århus)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BrabrandBrabrand
DW
VSK ÅrhusVSK Århus
DD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Brabrand33%
Draw33%
VSK Århus33%

VSK Århus leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Brabrand vs VSK Århus: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Brabrand host VSK Århus in Friendlies Clubs. Brabrand have recorded LLLLDL in recent matches while VSK Århus arrive with a run of LWWLDW.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Brabrand 0Draws 10 VSK Århus
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Brabrand
D11
VSK Århus

Recent form

Brabrand

Brabrand

D
vs VSK Århus
16 May 2026
11
W
@ Ishøj
13 May 2026
20
VSK Århus

VSK Århus

D
@ Brabrand
16 May 2026
11
D
@ Skive
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brabrand vs VSK Århus?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Brabrand vs VSK Århus?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Brabrand vs VSK Århus?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brabrand vs VSK Århus?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more