GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brabrand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Brabrand are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thisted FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Thisted FC hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (13.1 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the 2. Division, while Brabrand holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brabrand

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Brabrand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrabrandDDDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Thisted FCDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BrabrandThisted FC
11.1Attack16.7
11.1Defence16.7
0.0Form0.0
13.1Power16.3
1.51xG1.45
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