Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brabrand 1-1 Roskilde
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 25.5% | 24.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 24.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.2% | 51.1% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrabrandLDWWL
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RoskildeWWDWD
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrabrandRoskilde
38.9Attack50.0
27.8Defence61.1
22.2Form55.6
31.9Power59.1
1.09xG1.84