Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bra 1-1 Saluzzo
Original prediction
Bra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.1% | 36.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 29.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.1% | 34.0% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bra
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Bra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BraWDLDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SaluzzoLDLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BraSaluzzo
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.44xG1.23