Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
L
41
Full time
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FC St. Pauli33%
Bournemouth33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Bournemouth
33%
Draw
33%
FC St. Pauli
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bournemouth
73
FC St. Pauli
100
Defence
Bournemouth
1
FC St. Pauli
27
Momentum
Bournemouth
0
FC St. Pauli
100
Danger (xG)
Bournemouth
1.70
FC St. Pauli
5.40
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bournemouth)
1.70
avg per match
xG for (FC St. Pauli)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Bournemouth)
2.21
avg per match
xG against (FC St. Pauli)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BournemouthBournemouth
L
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
WL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bournemouth33%
Draw33%
FC St. Pauli33%

FC St. Pauli leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Bournemouth head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while FC St. Pauli arrive in mixed form (W). Bournemouth have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for FC St. Pauli over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Bournemouth (73/100) and FC St. Pauli (100/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Bournemouth have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FC St. Pauli have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 6.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Bournemouth have generated 1.70 xG per game recently while conceding 2.21 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Bournemouth and FC St. Pauli in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Bournemouth 3333%, Draw 3333%, FC St. Pauli 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

L
@ Liverpool
15 Aug 2025
24
xG 1.7
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

W
@ Altona 93
30 Jun 2026
62
L
vs VfL Wolfsburg
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more