Bourg-en-bresse 01vs
Fleury 91
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/17/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
Original prediction
Fleury 91
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.53 | 25.6% | 18.4% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 23.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 58.0% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40