Bourg-en-bresse 01vs
Concarneau
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concarneau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Concarneau, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bourg-en-bresse 01 1-1 Concarneau
Original prediction
Concarneau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.08 | 22.2% | 25.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.3% | 30.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.5% | 44.5% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Concarneau
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Concarneau
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Concarneau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60