Bourg-en-bresse 01vs
Caen
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/5/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-2 Caen
Original prediction
Caen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.2% | 25.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 26.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.9% | 48.2% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Caen
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Caen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bourg-en-bresse 01LLLWL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CaenLWLWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bourg-en-bresse 01Caen
25.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence58.3
25.0Form50.0
32.0Power57.2
0.96xG1.69