Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boulogne 0-0 Reims, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boulogne 1-1 Reims
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 26.3% | 28.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.9% | 40.4% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Boulogne 0–0 Reims
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BoulogneWDLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ReimsWDLDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BoulogneReims
22.2Attack70.4
77.8Defence59.3
33.3Form63.0
46.7Power65.4
0.69xG1.09