Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botswana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Botswana
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Botswana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BotswanaDDWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UgandaDWWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BotswanaUganda
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power64.8
1.43xG1.43