GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/24/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Vratsa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Slavia Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Slavia Sofia hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev VratsaLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Slavia SofiaWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Botev VratsaSlavia Sofia
33.3Attack11.1
44.4Defence77.8
11.1Form22.2
32.9Power40.2
1.00xG1.04
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