Botev Vratsavs
Levski Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/13/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botev Vratsa 0-0 Levski Sofia
Original prediction
Levski Sofia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.68 | 13.8% | 8.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.8% | 15.3% | -7.4 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 63.5% | 75.9% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00