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Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Botev Vratsa

Botev Vratsa

Home
W
11
Full time
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

Away
W
Hristo Botev Stadium
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
Botev Vratsa(55%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
55%
Draw
27%
Cherno More Varna
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Botev Vratsa
34
Cherno More Varna
34
Defence
Botev Vratsa
91
Cherno More Varna
91
Momentum
Botev Vratsa
100
Cherno More Varna
100
Danger (xG)
Botev Vratsa
0.90
Cherno More Varna
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Botev Vratsa)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Cherno More Varna)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Botev Vratsa)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Cherno More Varna)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
WD
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
WLW

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
Botev Vratsa55%
Draw27%
Cherno More Varna19%

Botev Vratsa leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Botev Vratsa head into this in First League fixture at Hristo Botev Stadium in mixed form (W), while Cherno More Varna arrive in mixed form (W). Botev Vratsa have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Cherno More Varna over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Botev Vratsa (91/100) and Cherno More Varna (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Botev Vratsa have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Cherno More Varna have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Botev Vratsa and Cherno More Varna in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Botev Vratsa to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Botev Vratsa 5476%, Draw 2660%, Cherno More Varna 1864%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Botev Vratsa

Botev Vratsa

W
vs Arda Kardzhali
10 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Montana
14 May 2026
00
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

W
vs Spartak Pleven
3 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Botev Plovdiv
16 May 2026
05
W
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

GoalVio's model predicts Botev Vratsa to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more