GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (75.0 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

12.6%

Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak VarnaWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
81.0Attack63.0
76.2Defence74.1
76.2Form74.1
75.0Power70.8
1.71xG1.01
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