GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/1/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.3 against 37.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivDLWDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PanathinaikosWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Botev PlovdivPanathinaikos
41.7Attack38.9
25.0Defence44.4
33.3Form22.2
36.3Power37.2
1.57xG1.38
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