GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/11/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maribor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.3 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maribor

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MariborWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Botev PlovdivMaribor
41.7Attack50.0
25.0Defence33.3
33.3Form16.7
36.3Power36.5
1.56xG1.57
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