GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/22/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Levski Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 87.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the First League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Sofia

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Levski SofiaLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
46.7Attack75.0
46.7Defence83.3
46.7Form100.0
49.7Power87.9
0.98xG1.73
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