Botev Plovdivvs
Botev Vratsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Pro Cup · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botev Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Botev Vratsa
Original prediction
Botev Plovdiv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 61.1% | 43.9% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.0% | 27.1% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.40 | 16.9% | 29.0% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Botev Plovdiv
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40