GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/7/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Racing Club are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Racing ClubDDDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
BotafogoRacing Club
76.2Attack61.1
47.6Defence50.0
76.2Form44.4
66.3Power53.1
2.08xG1.41
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