Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Botafogo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Patronato are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00