Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Botafogo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mirassol are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Serie A, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40