GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/30/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Magallanes are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoWWWDL

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MagallanesLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BotafogoMagallanes
76.2Attack44.4
47.6Defence27.8
76.2Form22.2
66.3Power34.0
2.80xG1.09
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