GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.3 against 65.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LDU de QuitoWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BotafogoLDU de Quito
76.2Attack54.8
47.6Defence81.0
76.2Form61.9
66.3Power65.4
1.02xG1.48
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