GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/23/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.3 against 65.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoDWDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa Y JusticiaWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoDefensa Y Justicia
76.2Attack58.3
47.6Defence61.1
76.2Form72.2
66.3Power65.1
1.62xG1.58
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