Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Coritiba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie A, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80