GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/2/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoClub Guarani
76.2Attack48.1
47.6Defence63.0
76.2Form55.6
66.3Power56.9
1.62xG1.26
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