Botafogovs
Cesar Vallejo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/21/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Botafogo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40