GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Botafogo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

65.4%

Model confidence

65.4%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BotafogoWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Caracas FCWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BotafogoCaracas FC
76.2Attack33.3
47.6Defence48.1
76.2Form37.0
66.3Power42.5
2.29xG0.87
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